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Good morning, traders! Grab your first cup of coffee and let’s dive into today’s market moves. With wholesale inflation bubbling up and geopolitical tensions simmering, we’re in for a spicy morning brew of market action!
1. Your First Sip: Market Overview
Pour yourself a strong one – you’ll need it for today’s market action. US stock futures inched higher after data on wholesale inflation came in higher than expected. Dow futures were up 0.2%. S&P 500 futures were also up 0.2%, and Nasdaq futures gained 0.3%. European shares rally on Ukraine ceasefire optimism. Oil slides on potential end to Russia sanctions. Dollar slips, Treasury yields retrace post-CPI spike.
2. Today’s Rising and Falling Stars
While you were grinding those coffee beans, some stocks were brewing up a storm. Coinbase (COIN) +7.2% premarket, set to report Q4 earnings boosted by crypto’s “Trump bump”. Cisco (CSCO) +6.2% beats estimates with impressive AI infrastructure orders. AppLovin (APP) soars +28% on strong Q4 revenue growth. Robinhood (HOOD) +16% surges on booming crypto trading revenue. MGM Resorts (MGM) +9.5% tops Q4 forecasts on rebounding Vegas demand.
Need a refill? The morning’s not so bright for everyone. Trade Desk (TTD) -27% takes a hit from Q4 revenue miss and soft Q1 guidance. Reddit (RDDT) -14% struggles with user growth despite earnings beat. Fastly (FSLY) -20% weighed down by wider Q4 loss and weak 2025 guidance.
3. Hot Stock Spotlight: Coinbase Rides the Crypto Political Wave
Coinbase (COIN) rides a 40% post-Trump rally into its Q4 earnings tonight, fueled by hopes of a pro-crypto regulatory revolution.
Q4 Estimates:
- EPS $2.11 (vs. $1.04 YoY)
- Revenue: $1.84B (+93% YoY)
Bull Case (Regulatory Moon Shot):
- Trump’s “Crypto Capital” Vision: Crypto-friendly regulatory leadership
- Institutional On-Ramp: Friendlier rules could attract Wall Street
- USDC Growth: Stablecoin revenue up 63% YoY
Bear Case (Crypto Challenges):
- Competition Risk: Traditional banks might enter the crypto market
- Bitcoin Dependence: 80% of revenue tied to crypto volatility
- Post-ETF Hangover: Q4 volume lags previous peaks
4. Trade Call Update: Robinhood Delivers the Goods
Splendid run from our call Robinhood (HOOD), surging +25.72% after making a pullback to our zone of interest. Congratulations to our members taking these calls, glad to know we’re not the only ones printing bags!
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5. Market Catalysts Today
Market Catalysts Today bring a mix of economic and geopolitical intrigue. January’s Producer Price Index rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.0% year-over-year, with core PPI seeing a +0.3% increase.
Geopolitical drama unfolds with a Trump-Putin call raising hopes for Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks, while trade tensions simmer with Trump vowing imminent reciprocal tariffs.
Treasury yields ease slightly, with the 10-year yield dropping 3 bps to 4.60%. All eyes are on a potential Putin-Zelenskyy meeting, Modi’s White House visit, and the intrigue surrounding Musk’s $97B OpenAI bid.
Earnings reports are expected Today:
Applied Materials, Palo Alto Networks, Deere, Duke Energy, Airbnb, Zoetis, Coinbase Global, Howmet Aerospace, Datadog, GE HealthCare Technologies, DexCom, Twilio, DraftKings, and Roku.
Remember Michael Marcus’s words as you start your day: “Being a successful trader also takes courage: the courage to try, the courage to fail, the courage to succeed, and the courage to keep on going when the going gets tough.”
Time to refill that cup and get trading!
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