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Good morning, traders! Grab your first cup of coffee and let’s dive into today’s market moves. With futures mixed and global markets dancing to the tunes of trade talks and AI excitement, we’re in for a fascinating morning brew of market action!
1. Your First Sip: Market Overview
Pour yourself a strong one – you’ll need it for today’s market action. US equity futures mixed as markets weigh Trump’s delayed reciprocal tariff plans. S&P 500 futures +0.1%, Dow futures -0.1%, Nasdaq futures +0.1%. European shares dip, luxury stocks shine on strong Hermès sales. Asian stocks rally, led by 4% surge in Chinese shares on AI optimism. Treasury yields tick up, dollar slips. Gold nears record high.
2. Today’s Rising and Falling Stars
While you were grinding those coffee beans, some stocks were brewing up a storm. Airbnb (ABNB) +13% rebounds with strong Q4 profit and revenue growth. Roku (ROKU) +13% narrows Q4 loss and targets 2026 profitability. DraftKings (DKNG) +4.8% boosts FY25 sales outlook. Intel (INTC) extends its AI-driven rally, up 4.1% and 26% over four days. MGM Resorts (MGM) +9.5% tops Q4 revenue estimates. GameStop (GME) +6.4% sparks interest with potential crypto investment.
Need a refill? The morning’s not so bright for everyone. Informatica (INFA) -35% slashes FY25 revenue guidance. Trade Desk (TTD) -27% disappoints with Q4 revenue miss. Twilio (TWLO) -8.6% falls short on Q1 forecast. Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -5.3% sees muted response despite Q2 beat. Applied Materials (AMAT) -5% clouded by supply chain concerns.
3. Hot Stock Spotlight: TELUS International’s Cashflow Gamble
TELUS International (TIXT) spikes +10% despite flat Q4 revenue and a GAAP net loss, as investors bet on cashflow resilience and AI-driven future gains.
Q4 Highlights:
- Revenue: $691M (vs. $692M YoY)
- GAAP EPS: -$54M loss (vs. +$38M profit YoY)
- Operating Cashflow: +$131M
Bull Case (Cashflow & AI Hope):
- Debt Paydown: Positive cash flow repairing balance sheet
- AI Investments: “Fuel iX” generative AI tools
- Parent TELUS Corp provides stability
Bear Case (Structural Risks):
- Customer Concentration: 45% revenue from 3 clients
- Goodwill/Intangibles risks of $3.3B
- Management’s vague explanations of challenges
4. Trade Call Update: Coinbase Delivers the Goods
Solid move from COINBASE (COIN), our trade call yesterday saw the price trade towards $300. The market opened and gave a solid entry move leading to a +6.87% return on trade. Congratulations to our members who took the call, we’re glad you’re winning with us.
For those that don’t know where the trades are called… Click here to join our channel.
Stay ahead of the market with our insider knowledge and trade calls!
5. Market Catalysts Today
Market Catalysts Today bring a mix of geopolitical and economic intrigue. Trump-Modi talks yield deals on trade and military sales. The US suggests NATO membership for Ukraine remains possible. China invites top entrepreneurs to meet leaders.
Ukraine drafts a US mineral investment deal. Trump delays reciprocal tariffs, easing trade fears. Inflation data continues to support “higher for longer” Fed rates, with the PCE price index due on February 28 promising to add more spice to the market menu.
Remember Stanley Druckenmiller’s words as you start your day: “I believe that good investors are successful not because of their IQ, but because they have an investing discipline.”
Time to refill that cup and get trading!
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